Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.541033 0.602336 0.668606 0.745712 0.833132 0.929367 1.043598
2025-03-30 0.435817 0.517982 0.613672 0.733931 0.881838 1.058841 1.288248
2025-04-06 0.379000 0.470211 0.581802 0.729508 0.921570 1.165155 1.501148
2025-04-13 0.327491 0.419994 0.537578 0.699688 0.920012 1.212809 1.637752
2025-04-20 0.301434 0.398151 0.525372 0.707346 0.964851 1.322130 1.865872
2025-04-27 0.280393 0.380125 0.515351 0.715247 1.008599 1.431905 2.104939
2025-05-04 0.262094 0.363704 0.505289 0.720925 1.048088 1.537592 2.348275
2025-05-11 0.245299 0.347654 0.493850 0.722666 1.080629 1.634521 2.587583
2025-05-18 0.232576 0.336243 0.487823 0.731308 1.123582 1.750606 2.870503
2025-05-25 0.214955 0.316071 0.466907 0.714663 1.124087 1.797292 3.039691
2025-06-01 0.205843 0.308032 0.463672 0.725354 1.169507 1.922026 3.360245
2025-06-08 0.194045 0.294908 0.451380 0.719981 1.186916 1.999669 3.603158
2025-06-15 0.185548 0.286598 0.446415 0.726827 1.226814 2.122524 3.951134
2025-06-22 0.174378 0.273245 0.432315 0.716936 1.236138 2.190837 4.201636
2025-06-29 0.165296 0.262661 0.421962 0.712519 1.254602 2.277468 4.500038
2025-07-06 0.152581 0.245217 0.398854 0.683496 1.224406 2.267003 4.591723
2025-07-13 0.147235 0.239874 0.396057 0.690950 1.264045 2.397825 5.007686
2025-07-20 0.142320 0.234932 0.393564 0.698642 1.304635 2.534533 5.456253
2025-07-27 0.137411 0.229679 0.390125 0.704170 1.341227 2.666535 5.913057
2025-08-03 0.132271 0.223695 0.384947 0.705865 1.369992 2.784614 6.353787
2025-08-10 0.128429 0.219799 0.383302 0.714278 1.413400 2.939296 6.909276
2025-08-17 0.121485 0.209872 0.369850 0.698074 1.402767 2.971047 7.153299
2025-08-24 0.118487 0.207035 0.369543 0.708482 1.450862 3.143134 7.796498